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For release: April 18, 2005
St. Louis Fed’s Review: "Reflections on Monetary Policy
25 Years After October 1979"
St. Louis, MO. — A special issue of Review,
the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' bimonthly publication of
economic and business issues, features papers presented last fall
on policymaking after Oct. 6, 1979, when then-Fed chairman Paul
Volcker announced that the Federal Reserve's Open Market Desk would
trade Treasury securities to achieve weekly targets for a reserve
quantity rather than the fed funds rate
In their editorial introduction, economists Athanasios Orphanides
and Daniel L. Thornton noted that the Fed's actions that day "marked
the beginning of the end of inflationary malaise that permeated
the economy at the time. Starting with its policy actions that Saturday
afternoon, the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its responsibility to
restore and maintain an environment of price stability in the economy,
thereby restoring confidence and setting the stage for a period
of lasting economic prosperity. This prosperity has been interrupted
only by two mild and shallow recessions over the past two decades."
The titles and authors of the papers are:
- "Origins of the Great Inflation,"
by Allan H. Meltzer, the Allan H. Meltzer university professor
of political economy at Carnegie Mellon University and a visiting
scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Meltzer offers a
historical analysis of the economic and political forces that
generated and sustained the "Great Inflation" of the
1960s and '70s, and necessitated the forceful disinflationary
actions of October 1979.
- "The Reform of October 1979: How It Happened and
Why," by David E. Lindsay, former deputy director
of the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Board of Governors
of the Federal Reserve System; Athanasios Orphanides, an advisor
in the Division of Monetary Affairs; and Robert H. Rasche, senior
vice president and director of research at the St. Louis Fed.
They offer a historical review of monetary policy reform, discuss
the influences behind it, and gauge its significance.
- "The Monetary Policy Debate Since October 1979:
Lessons for Theory and Practice," by Marvin Goodfriend,
senior vice president and policy advisor at the Federal Reserve
Bank of Richmond. Goodfriend reviews the evolution of monetary
policy theory and practice over the past 25 years, and examines
how both theory and policy have been shaped by the earlier experience
of the Great Inflation and the reform of October 1979.
- "The International Implications of October 1979:
Toward a Long Boom on a Global Scale," by John B.
Taylor, the undersecretary of Treasury for international affairs.
Taylor explores the view that the October 6 reform was a critical
step in restoring stability, not only in the United States but
also around the globe.
- "Panel Discussion (I): What Have We Learned Since
October 1979?" by Ben S. Bernanke, a member of the
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Alan S. Blinder,
a professor and co-director of the Center for Economic Policy
Studies at Princeton University; and Bennett T. McCallum, a professor
at Carnegie Mellon University.
- "Panel Discussion (II): Safeguarding Good Policy
Practice," by Roger W. Ferguson, Jr., vice chairman
of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Charles
A.E. Goodheart, deputy director of the Financial Markets Group
of the London School of Economics; and William Poole, president
of the St. Louis Fed.
Authors offering commentaries are: Christina D. Romer, a professor
of economics at the University of California, Berkeley; Stephen
H. Axilrod, a global macroeconomics consultant and former staff
director for monetary affairs and financial policy at the Board
of Governors; Laurence M. Ball, a professor at The Johns Hopkins
University; Robert P. Black, former president of the Federal Reserve
Bank of Richmond; Philip E. Coldwell, a former member of the Board
of Governors; Joseph R. Coyne, a former assistant to the Board of
Governors; and Charles Freedman, a former deputy governor at the
Bank of Canada and currently scholar in residence at the Department
of Economics, Carleton University, Ottawa.
Review is also available on the Bank’s web
site: www.stlouisfed.org.
With branches in Little Rock, Louisville and Memphis, the Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis serves the Eighth Federal Reserve District,
which includes all of Arkansas, eastern Missouri, southern Indiana,
southern Illinois, western Kentucky, western Tennessee and northern
Mississippi. The St. Louis Fed is one of 12 regional Reserve Banks
that, along with the Board of Governors in Washington, D.C., comprise
the Federal Reserve System. As the nation's central bank, the Federal
Reserve System formulates U.S. monetary policy, regulates state-chartered
member banks and bank holding companies, and provides payment services
to financial institutions and the U.S. government.
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